Abstract
The Sphagnaceae family has ten species recorded in Cuba. All of them are categorized as Threatened in the Red List of the Cuban Flora. However, this is a provisional categorization, and there are not enough criteria to establish a category according to IUCN guidelines. Here, we used climate niche models generated with Maxent to assess the conservation status of these species in the context of climate change. We applied criteria A and B of the Red List of Threatened Species. We estimated the priority areas for the conservation of these bryophytes with the redlistr package for R software. Two of the Sphagnum species evaluated meet enough criteria to be categorized as threatened. Although the Sphagnaceae are protected by the National System of Protected Areas, there are priority areas for their conservation beyond those boundaries. Their conservation status in Cuba is affected by the effects of climate change. The highest mountain systems in eastern Cuba may act as climatic refuges for these bryophytes.
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